Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 21.474252 24.380679 27.548652 31.260258 35.492566 40.171749 45.742229
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 17.141258 20.888038 25.277425 30.807388 37.600843 45.690204 56.078396
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 13.889837 18.033604 23.212834 30.180092 39.337607 51.004973 67.065534
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 11.677151 16.086106 21.941314 30.319433 42.057720 58.004902 81.461502
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.056020 14.649580 21.110051 30.912764 45.510204 66.599974 99.666287
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.623622 13.241620 20.097327 31.094148 48.446881 75.033547 119.351904
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.710787 12.450925 19.862092 32.402827 53.331040 87.273859 147.333776
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.750779 11.427653 19.104729 32.767840 56.810485 97.972347 175.077414
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.754528 10.179759 17.781904 31.967685 58.207363 105.485978 198.969506
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.006656 9.235869 16.823367 31.638090 60.385804 114.796344 228.157650
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.580457 8.801984 16.703331 32.831214 65.635798 130.811703 273.817682
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.254330 8.502745 16.785395 34.432659 72.003598 150.254851 330.850699
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.820150 7.936137 16.290056 34.861421 76.232345 166.542658 385.773426
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.309864 7.129164 15.178406 33.800550 77.092847 175.885065 427.477271
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.873090 6.406299 14.126364 32.685358 77.643099 184.733861 470.444857
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.568883 5.925934 13.526155 32.501428 80.376169 199.371743 531.884296
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.341253 5.583019 13.181508 32.869615 84.570561 218.582554 610.610362
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.118258 5.213606 12.713459 32.848947 87.795373 236.089781 689.528760
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.987780 5.049716 12.719071 34.057767 94.583762 264.734379 808.859314
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.822614 4.769740 12.385625 34.300778 98.776321 287.169709 915.872865
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.624122 4.369064 11.671228 33.352682 99.355175 299.310433 993.847238
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.471567 4.066991 11.170625 32.922679 101.404499 316.412291 1093.439697
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.395184 3.964456 11.205588 34.095505 108.711247 351.815804 1267.387912